AgMarket.Net Early Morning Analysis (2/27/26)

February 27, 2026

At this hour:

🌽Corn market is up 1-2c,

🌱soybeans are up 2-4c,

🍞wheat is up 6-7c,

🛢️crude oil is up 1.30,

 

-First Notice Day on March Futures

-Last day for Feb crop insurance average.  Going to be around $4.61/$11.07

-Soybeans failed to close above previous highs but did claw there way back to close to even.

– Export sales were consistently on the low side of trade expectations across the board

with corn & wheat significantly below trade expectations.

-It has been 2,604 days since Michigan has beat Illinois in basketball (sorry I had to! ILL)

Support/Resistance:

March corn – Support on March corn is at $4.17 3/4 which is the January 13th low. Resistance is at $4.36 1/4 which is the low from January 5th.

July corn – Support comes in at $4.33 1/2 which is the January 16th low. Resistance comes in at $4.54 ½ which is the 200 day moving average

Mar soybeans – Support comes in at $11.37 which is the 10-day moving average. Resistance is at $11.58 which is the high from November 19th.

July soybeans – Support is at $11.66 3/4 which is the 10-day moving average. Resistance is at $11.81 ¾ which we traded to on Nov 18th – also calendar year high.

 

Where do we go from Here:

 

Final day for feb averaging in crop insurance. Corn is going to come in around $4.61 vs

$4.70 last year. Soybeans are going to be around $11.07 vs $10.54 last year. A lot of

folks will have new decisions to make when it comes to crop insurance decisions with

new subsidies on ECO/SCO. If you have any questions please give our crop insurance

dept a call or shoot us an email.

 

Soybeans had a 30c trading range yesterday and briefly eclipsed the calendar year high

before ultimately closing lower.  News came out that Trumps meeting with Xi in a few

weeks had stalled and added some uncertainty between US & China relations.  While we didn’t make new highs soybeans did work closer to even toward the end of the day.

 

At Commodity Classic Secretary Rollins announced One Farmer, One File – aiming to roll out a more streamlined and digital experience in how farmers interact with the USDA.

 

Drought conditions for corn/soybean/winter wheat areas have been steadily ticking up

but are a ways away from being concerning: 41% of corn area is experiencing drought

vs a 5 year average of 36% | soybeans show 44% vs 5 year average of 29% | Winter

Wheat as 50% of the area experiencing drought vs a 39% average. 81% of the state of

Illinois is experiencing a moderate drought currently – last year that number was 38%.

 

July Chi Wheat is approaching the $6.00 psychological level as well as the gap in the chart at $6.15.

 

Everyone have a great weekend!

cbridgmanagmarketnet
Conner Bridgman
Phone:
217 917 4888 (Cell)
Location:
Assumption, IL
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